Elections

Semones, Evan, “New poll has Warren leading Biden ahead of next Democratic debate.” Politico, October 14, 2019.

Malone, Claire, “The Front-Runner?FiveThirtyEight, September 30, 2019.

Bronner and Koeze, “The Third Democratic Debate In 7 Charts.” FiveThirtyEight, September 13, 2019.

Bycoffe, Frostenson, and Wolfe, “Who Will Win The Third Democratic Debate?FiveThirtyEight, September 12, 2019.

Silver, Nate, “Is It Really A Three-Candidate Race?FiveThirtyEight, September 09, 2019.

Skelley, Geoffrey, “Here’s Who’s Qualified For The Third Debate So Far — And Who Still Has A Shot.” FiveThirtyEight, August 26, 2019.

Denniston, Lyle, “Can states control how presidential electors vote?Constitution Daily, August 26, 2019.

Shepard, Steven, “Biden and Bernie the only Democrats to beat Trump in new poll.” Politico, August 21, 2019.

Bacon Jr, Perry, “The 2020 Democratic Field Is More Anti-War Than Obama Was.” FiveThirtyEight, August 19, 2019.

Skelley, Geoffrey, “Who Will Make The Third Democratic Debate (And Who Could Miss It).” FiveThirtyEight, August 13, 2019

Skelley, Geoffrey, “Why So Many House Republicans Are Retiring, And Why More Could Be On The Way.” FiveThirtyEight, August 7, 2019.

Bacon Jr., Perry, “GOP Politicians Are Much More Resistant To Gun Control Than GOP Voters Are.” FiveThirtyEight, August 6, 2019.

Skelley, Geoffrey, “How Much Trouble Could Mark Sanford Cause Trump In The 2020 GOP Primary?” FiveThirtyEight, July 23, 2019.

Rakich, Nathaniel, “How To Read 2020 Polls Like A FiveThirtyEighter.” FiveThirtyEight, July 22, 2019.

Matthew Dickinson, “Beto, We Hardly Know Ye!” Presidential Power, July 18, 2019.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, “Americans Say They Would Vote for a Woman, but…” FiveThirtyEight, July 15, 2019.

Nate Silver, “A Midsummer overview of the Democratic Field.” FiveThirtyEight, July 11, 2019.

Dhrumil Mehta, “Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Was Mentioned Most in the News Last Week?” FiveThirtyEight, July 8, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich and Laura Bronner, “Where Kamala Harris’s New Voters Came From.” FiveThirtyEight, July 3, 2019.

Julia Azari, “What We Know About the Impact of Primary Debates.” FiveThirtyEight, June 24, 2019.

Perry Bacon Jr., “Which Democratic Candidates are the Most Progressive on Criminal Justice Issues?” FiveThirtyEight, June 20, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Biden’s Leading the Primary Race, but Front-Runners Don’t Always Get Nominated.” FiveThirtyEight, June 18, 2019.

Clare Malone, “How Mike Gravel Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary,FiveThirtyEight, June 10, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Which 2020 Candidates are More (Or Less) Popular Than They ‘Should’ Be?” Five Thirty Eight, May 4, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Are Blowout Presidential Elections a Thing of the Past?FiveThirtyEight, May 28, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “The Candidates Who Are Going All in on Iowa or New Hampshire.” FiveThirtyEight, May 23, 2019.

Pavielle Haines and Seth Masket, “Who White Democrats Vote for in 2020 Could Be Shaped By Why They Think Clinton Lost.” FiveThirtyEight, May 22, 2019.

Dhrumil Mehta, “Beto O’Rourke Ignored Cable News- And It Ignored Him.” FiveThirtyEight, May 21, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Here’s How the Democrats Will Limit the Debate Field If Too many People Qualify.” FiveThirtyEight, May 10, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Some of Today’s Candidates (Probably) Won’t Make It to Iowa.” FiveThirtyEight, May 7, 2019.

Dhrumil Mehta, “Cable News is Covering Biden As Much As Every Other Democratic Candidate Combined.” FiveThirtyEight, May 6, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “How Michael Bennet Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, May 2, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How Marianne Williamson Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, May 1, 2019.

Adam Hilton, “Can Bill Weld Unseat Trump? Let’s Look a the History of Challenges to Incumbent Presidents.” Monkey Cage, April 29, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Democrats Think Biden is Electable, But He’s Not Everyone’s First Choice,” FiveThirtyEight, April 25, 2019.

Nate Silver, “How Joe Biden Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary,” FiveThirtyEight, April 25, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “We Analyzed 40 Years of Primary Polls. Even Early On, They’re Fairly Predictive.” FiveThirtyEight, April 24, 2019.

Dhrumil Mehta, “Fox News Can’t Stop Talking About Bernie Sanders.” FiveThirtyEight, April 22, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Running For President is Easier When You Have Nothing to Lose,” FiveThirtyEight, April 17, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Who Might Make the Democratic Debate Stage?” FiveThirtyEight, April 16, 2019.

Kendall Karson, “What the Potential 2020 Candidates are Doing and Saying, Vol. 14,” FiveThirtyEight, April 12, 2019.

Kyle Kondik, “The Democratic Nomination: It Doesn’t Have to be a Long Slog,” Sabato’s Crystal Ball, April 11, 2019.

Oliver Roeder, “Sanders 2020 is Off to a Faster Start Than Sanders 2016,” FiveThirtyEight, April 11, 2019.

Perry Bacon Jr., “Joe Biden Supporters Are Older and More Moderate- and Sticking with Him So Far,” FiveThirtyEight, April 10, 2019.

Oliver Roeder and Dhrumil Mehta, “Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg Had a Good Week on Cable News,” FiveThirtyEight, April 8, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How Eric Swalwell Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary,” FiveThirtyEight, April 8, 2019.

Alan I. Abramowitz, “Assessing Trump’s Chances: Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election,” Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball, April 4, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How the Giant Democratic Field Messes with Polls,” FiveThirtyEight, April 4, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “What to Make of the ‘Buttigieg Bump,'” FiveThirtyEight, March 28, 2019.

Perry Bacon Jr., “What Does Beto O’Rourke Believe?” FiveThirtyEight, March 19, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How Andrew Yang Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, March 19, 2019.

Clare Malone, “How Beto O’Rourke Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, March 14, 2019.

Julia Azari, “How 2020 Democratic Contenders Could Embrace Obama’s Legacy.” FiveThirtyEight, March 12, 2019.

David Wise, “Why the 2020 Democratic Nomination May Come Down to a Contest Between Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar.” LSE USCentre, March 7, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “The Movment to Skip the Electoral College is About to Pass a Major Milestone.” FiveThirtyEight, March 5, 2019.

David Wise, “How the Dozens of Likely Candidates in the 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Will Be Winnowed Down to One.” LSE USCentre, March 5, 2019.

Barbara Norrander, “Primary Primers: This is How Americans Will Choose Their Presidential Candidates in 2020.” LSE USCentre, March 1, 2019.

Christie Aschwanden and Geoffrey Skelley, “How Jay Inslee Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.FiveThirtyEight, March 1, 2019.

Nate Silver, “We’re Tracking 2020 Presidential Endorsements.Here’s Why They Probably Still Matter.” FiveThirtyEight, Februaray 28, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Are There Really ‘Lanes’  in the 2020 Democratic Primary?” FiveThirtyEight, February 26, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “How to Rate a Trump Challenger.” FiveThirtyEight, February 25, 2019.

Nate Silver, “How Bernie’s 2020 Map Might Change Without the #NeverHillary Vote.” FiveThirtyEight, February 21, 2019.

Perry Bacon, Jr. “Elizabeth Warren’s Ideas Could Win the Democratic Primary – Even If She Doesn’t.” FiveThirtyEight, February 21, 2019.

Julia Azari and Seth Masket, “The DNC’s Debate Rules Won’t Make the 2020 Primaries Any Less Chaotic.” FiveThirtyEight, February 21, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Would It Be Weird if Biden Didn’t Run?” FiveThirtyEight, February 19, 2019.

Clare Malone, “How Bernie Sanders Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.” FiveThirtyEight, February 19, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Would It Be Weird if Biden Didn’t Run?” FiveThirtyEight, February 19, 2019.

Clare Malone, “How Bernie Sanders Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.” FiveThirtyEight, February 19, 2019.

Zachary Albert and David Barney, “The Coalition Which Helped Trump Win Has Not Helped Him to Advance His Policy Agenda as President- and Democrats Should Take Note.” LSE USCentre, February 15, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How Bill Weld Could Shake Up the 2020 Republican Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, February 15, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Which 2020 Democrats Already Have a Fan Base- and Which Don’t.” FiveThirtyEight, February 14, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “Which Offices Are Good Stepping Stones to the Presidency?” FiveThirtyEight, February 11, 2019.

Perry Bacon Jr., “How Cory Booker Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.” FiveThirtyEight, February 1, 2019.

Kathryn Dunn Tenpas and James A. McCann, “Compared with Recent Presidents, Trump Does Not Like to Travel- Except When He’s Campaigning.” Monkey Cage, January 25, 2019.

Adam Kelsey, “What the Potential 2020 Candidates are Doing and Saying, Vol. 3.” FiveThirtyEight, January 25, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “How Tulsi Gabbard Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.” FiveThirtyEight, January 24, 2019.

Gus Wezerek, “How Pete Buttigieg Could Win the 2020 Democratic Nomination.” FiveThirtyEight, January 23, 2019.

Perry Bacon Jr., “How Kamala Harris Could Win the 2020 Democratic Primary.” FiveThirtyEight, January 22, 2019.

Nathaniel Rakich, “4 Things Elizabeth Warren’s Last Election Can Tell Us About 2020.” FiveThirtyEight, January 17, 2019.

Nate Silver, “Why Kamala and Beto May Have More Upside Than Joe and Bernie.” FiveThirtyEight, January 14, 2019.

Geoffrey Skelley, “Presidential Primary Debates Can Make- And Break- A Campaign.” FiveThirtyEight, January 7, 2019.

Seth Masket, “Democratic Activists Haven’t Decided on a 2020 Candidate.” Mischiefs of Faction, December 19, 2018.

Peter Finn and Robert Ledger, “The Midterms Have Just Set the Stage fro a Tough 2020 Presidential Fight.” LSE USCentre, November 30, 2018.

Ronald L. Feinman, “What Are the Chances that a Member of the House of Representatives Will Be Our Next President?” History News Network, November 11, 2018.

Nate Silver, “The 2018 Map Looked a Lot Like 2012… and That Got Me Thinking About 2020.” FiveThirtyEight, November 8, 2018.

Peter Trubowitz, “Americans Have Voted to Put a Check on Donald Trump and on His Vision for the Country.” LSE US Centre, November 7, 2018.

Nate Silver, “Trump’s Approval Rating is Up. Republican House Chances are Down. Does That Make Any Sense?” FiveThirtyEight, October 23, 2018.

Justin Martin, “Midterms (Lincoln’s Included) Have Always Been a Tough Presidential Test.” History News Network, September 18, 2018.

James Thornton Harris, “What Can Account for Donald Trump’s Political Success?” History News Network, September 4, 2018.

Ronald L. Feinman, “Donald Trump Was the Oldest Elected President in History in 2016. Are We Ready to Elect the Youngest President in 2020?” History News Network, September 3, 2018.

James King, “In the 2016 Presidential Primaries, Party Nomination Rules Benefited Donald Trump and Hurt Bernie Sanders.” LSE USCentre, August 16, 2018.

Joshua N. Zingher, “Whites Have Fled the Democratic Party. Here’s How the Nation Got There.” Monkey Cage, May 22, 2018.

Lauren Johnson, Deon McCray, and Jordan Ragusa, “Sex and Religion Were the Biggest Influences on #NeverTrump Republicans.” LSE USCentre, May 17, 2018.

Rebecca Shimoni Stoil, “What if Tariffs Cost Trump the Farm Vote?” FiveThirtyEight, April 26, 2018.

Sarah Treul and Rachel Porter, “Inexperienced Candidates are Becoming More Common, But Only in One Party.” Mischiefs of Faction, April 20, 2018.

Kyle Kondik, “Underestimate Trump’s Reelection Odds at Your Own Peril.” Sabato’s Crystal Ball, April 19, 2018.

Donne Levy, “How We Got Trump.” History News Network, April 16, 2018.

Ben Newman, Sono Shah, and Loren Collingwood, “During the Election, Donald Trump’s Racist Rhetoric Activated the Fears of People in Areas with Growing Latino Populations.” LS US Centre, January 24, 2018.

Paul Beck, Richard Gunther, and Erik Nisbet, “The 2016 Ground Game from the Voter’s Perspective.” Mischiefs of Faction, January 22, 2018.

Kathryn Dunn Tenpas, James A. McCann and Emily J. Charnock, “Trump Makes Fewer Public Trips Than Recent Presidents. Will That Hurt the Republicans in November?” Monkey Cage, January 17, 2018.

Perry Bacon Jr., “If You Want To Know Who’s Running In 2020, Watch Capitol Hill, Not Iowa.” FiveThirtyEight, January 4, 2018.

Matthew Fowler, Vladimir E. Medenica, and Cathy J. Cohen, “Why 41 Percent of White Millennials Voted for Trump.” Monkey Cage, December 15, 2017.

David Wasserman, “The One County in America That Voted in a Landslide for Both Trump and Obama.” FiveThirtyEight, November 9, 2017.

Seth Masket, “Deciding the Democratic Party’s Direction.” Mischiefs of Faction, September 12, 2017.

Erin C. Cassese and Mirya Holman, “Campaining Attacks May Hurt Women Candidates More Than Men- Especially on ‘Women’s’ Issues.” Monkey Cage, August 31, 2017.

John Sides, “Did Enough Bernie Sanders Supporters Vote for Trump to Cost Clinton the Election?” Monkey Cage, August 24, 2017.

Paul von Hippel, “Here’s a Voter Fraud Myth: Richard Daley ‘Stole’ Illinois for John Kennedy in the 1960 Election.” Monkey Cage, August 8, 2017.

Eric T. Kasper, “Musicians are now more likely than ever to object to American presidential candidate’s use of their songs,” LSE USCentre, August 1, 2017.

, “Why did Trump win? More whites — and fewer blacks — actually voted.Monkey Cage, May 8, 2017.

Luke Perry and Paul Joyce, “In 3 Charts, Here’s How President Trump’s Tweets Differ From Candidate Trump’s Tweets.Monkey Cage, May 2, 2017.

Verlan Lewis, “Why Presidential Candidates (Like Trump) Campaign as Isolationists but (Like Trump) Govern as Hawks.Monkey Cage, April 18, 2017.

Walter G. Moss, “What Trump, Le Pen, and Putin Are Selling.History News Network, April 2, 2017.

Donne Levy, “Did Donald Trump Win Because He Had a Better Slogan?History News Network, March 26, 2017.

Matthew R. Miles, “Religious Identity and Descriptive Representation.Religion in Public, March 21, 2017.

Geoffrey Cowan, “The Disturbing Factor that Shapes Our Attitudes About the Electoral College, Primaries, and Direct Democracy.History News Network, March 12, 2017.

Ronald L. Feinman, “The Last Serious, Qualified Third-Party Candidate for President Was…?History News Network, March 5, 2017.

Geoffrey Skelley and Kyle Kondik, “How Midterms Do (And Do Not) Differ from Presidential Elections.Sabato’s Crystal Ball, March 2, 2017.

Brendan J. Doherty, “Trump Isn’t Really Campaigning Earlier than other Recent Presidents. He’s Just More Up Front About It.Monkey Cage, February 21, 2017.

Ronald L. Feinman, “So You Think Trump’s Victory was an Outlier Because the Election was so Close?History News Network, February 16, 2017.

Patrick J. Egan, “Are Trump’s Low Approval Ratings ‘Fake News’? I Looked at the Evidence.Monkey Cage, February, 10, 2017.

Jeremy C. Young, “Emotional Politics Won the 2016 Election.History News Network, February 5, 2017.

Kyle Kondik, “2018 House: The Ground Moving Under Their Feet.Sabato’s Crystal Ball, February 2, 2017.

Daniel P. Franklin, Abigail C. Bowen, and Judd Thornton, “Do Third Party Candidates Actually Influence the Polls?Salon, January 20, 2017.

George C. Edwards, “It’s Time for the Electoral College to Go.Law360, January 3, 2017.

George C. Edwards, “Two of the Most Prominent Arguments for the Electoral College are Completely Wrong.Monkey Cage, November 18, 2016.

George C. Edwards, “The Flawed Foundations of the Electoral College.Yale Books Unbound, November 16, 2016.

Julie VanDusky-Allen, “Why Can’t People Just Accept It? Losing and Protest Behavior in the 2016 Presidential Election.” The Blue Review, November 14, 2016.

George C. Edwards, “There’s No Reason for Keeping the Electoral College.History News Network, November 13, 2016.